Evidence & Evaluation

From raw satellite hotspots to a handful of explained, risk-ranked alerts. These are the numbers that show ForestGuard is measurable and serious.

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Demo & replay scenarios

Five bundled scenarios exercise the full pipeline with zero credentials. Click “Run replay” to re-process them live in your browser session.

How to read these metrics

  • Duplicate reduction — identical detections across satellites collapsed to one event.
  • Episode clustering — many raw pixels become a few coherent fire episodes.
  • Alert reduction — only episodes that pass an area’s F-GRADE threshold and are spatially exposed become alerts.
  • False-positive suppression — fixed industrial hotspots and likely agricultural burning are down-weighted, not alerted.
  • Explainability — 100% of alerts ship a human-readable explanation with drivers, uncertainty and recommended actions.

ForestGuard is a decision-support tool and does not replace official emergency services or government wildfire warnings.